Sun Shiquan,Li Aijun,Ma Ruwei.Calculation of probability of causation for non-specified radiogenic cancer cases──etiologic judgement of a malignant fibrous histiocytoma developed[J].Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection,1995,15(1):24-28
Calculation of probability of causation for non-specified radiogenic cancer cases──etiologic judgement of a malignant fibrous histiocytoma developed
Received:May 17, 1994  Revised:July 08, 1994
DOI:
KeyWords:Radiogenic cancers  probability of causation  plutonium  contamination
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Author NameAffiliation
Sun Shiquan China Institute for Radiation Protection, Taiyuan, 030006 
Li Aijun China Institute for Radiation Protection, Taiyuan, 030006 
Ma Ruwei China Institute for Radiation Protection, Taiyuan, 030006 
李幼忱 China Institute for Radiation Protection, Taiyuan, 030006 
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Abstract::
      A criterion for the compensation of patients with radiogenic cancer has been formulated for five specified cancers. A method of calculation of the probability of causation (PC) of non-specified cancers was applied to a case of malignant fibrous histiocytoma developed at the elbow of a plutonium contaminated worker. According to the histologic structure of the tumour, there were three possible target cells, and their doses were evaluated with the available data of urine plutonium. Then PC was calculated with excess relative risk coefficient indirectly deduced from related animal experiment.The result showed that the obtained PC varied greatly with the supposed target cells.If the target cells were periosteum cells,the PC might exceed 50 percent, but that might not be true, and the tumour might come from fibroblasts, and then PC might be less than 1 percent.
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